League 2 Relegation Thread 2018/2019

The_Viking_Magpie

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I’d pay money to see good old Colin slater commentate in the conference.

Would be hilerious
Thankfully he doesn’t commentate anymore , incredible club servant. He’s going to miss that £10 so much Adam

Good luck to all gamblers today for day one of the best horse racing festival in the world.

Day One Picks (1:30) :

AI dancer
Angels breath
Grand sancy
 

Optipez

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Disgusting performance tonight. Makes Saturday against Macc even bigger than it already was.
If you win I think that will just about sink Macc. If we lose as well I think we're sunk too. Eight points effectively with our goal difference is too much to pull back with eight left to play for a team that's not strung results together all season.
 

LongEatonPie

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We have to win Saturday to make tonight's result mean anything.
With Macc and Yeovil playing each other it's even more important.
Exeter at home after that.
Probably 4 or 5 wins needed from 9 for us. Still a very big ask.
 

The_Viking_Magpie

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Too big an ask. That’s a tough points total for a automatic promotion chasing side let alone our lot.

Agree must win (again!!!!!!) on Saturday alas I fear another Vale, Cambridge and Macc performance making another ugly apprarance

You can’t trust Notts this season so I predict home defeat
 

Buxton Vale

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Macc were the big losers last night without playing, and they have Yeovil up next which is a 6 pointer. Things could look very bad for them by Saturday night.
 
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The only hope for County or Macc is that Yeovil continue to play as badly as they did last night. It would suit us just fine if one of them stayed up at Yeovils expense.
 

Wooderson

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Plenty of Notts fans with the old Basil Fawlty quote in their minds this morning. Last night's result and performance does indeed offer some hope, the only trouble is we have been far better this season against the better teams (wins against Mansfield, Tranmere, FGR, Carlisle, draws against Lincoln, ColU, Bury), and awful against our relegation rivals, especially at home. Plus, Morecambe are in pretty good form. But three points and we can maybe think about looking up instead of down. I don't know what the other-run ins are like but I think it looks like 2 from 3 now - Yeovil have a few tricky fixtures after Macc on Saturday and by all accounts were dreadful last night. Think we are going to struggle to catch anyone else though, especially with our terrible GD.

Hopefully we will keep the same XI, I think Stead's injury could be a blessing - Hemmings was superb up top on his own last night, something a few fans have wanted to see for a while. A midfield 3 of Jim O'Brien (if fit after Devitt's challenge), Michael Doyle and David Vaughan is old as f*** but really ought to be good enough!

To be honest though it's just nice to be off the f****** bottom!
 

valefan16

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Difference ten days makes, three outstanding performances and 7 points.

We’ve gone from looking dead and buried in free fall to looking energised and playing the best football in three or four years! Only downside was not punishing Notts County or we would be virtually there now.

Players who’d fell out the team under Aspin now look rejuvenated such as Worrall and Miller and the likes of Joyce and Conlon have randomly turned into form players.

Still a work in progress but Askey seems to have turned us around. One win might be enough with GD, Two certainly should, we’ve gone from 50-50 ten days ago to possibly 90-10 to staying up I would think.

Just need to keep it going and hopefully get safe as quickly as possibly so we can relax!
 

Buxton Vale

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Lets get our bogey away fixture on Saturday out of the way first, but we are looking like a completely different team now Aspins gone and Pope is sidelined. Im beginning to warm to Askey as well. Hes finally got us playing.
 

Wooderson

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Vale are safe! I saw enough in our game to think that and said so at the time, and the last two results have underlined that.

It certainly looks like 2 from 3 to me, unless Cambridge or Morecambe have a total collapse. Even then if we win 4 from our last 9, which would be a decent effort, they would only have to win 1 to match our points total (not withstanding draws), and both have a much better GD.
 

valefan16

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Yeovil look in big trouble based on last night to be honest, I thought they wouldn’t be as bad as at their place again but they were!

Massive relegation six pointer and according to our players within ten minutes they realised that Yeovil just didn’t want to know then it tells you something, I’d be steaming if I was a Yeovil fan to hear that!
 

Buxton Vale

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Its 2 from 3 now after the last 2 games. Yeovil v Macc on Saturday is season defining for one of the teams. If its a draw, and Notts can get a win, then Notts can have hope.
 

MrGloverLover

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Yeovil look in big trouble based on last night to be honest, I thought they wouldn’t be as bad as at their place again but they were!

Massive relegation six pointer and according to our players within ten minutes they realised that Yeovil just didn’t want to know then it tells you something, I’d be steaming if I was a Yeovil fan to hear that!
We've known that for a long time. We have good players but when they are that demotivated it shows you exactly how they've been crushed over the course of the season by a manager who is deluded, out of his depth and in denial.
 

Laker

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Vale are safe! I saw enough in our game to think that and said so at the time, and the last two results have underlined that.

It certainly looks like 2 from 3 to me, unless Cambridge or Morecambe have a total collapse. Even then if we win 4 from our last 9, which would be a decent effort, they would only have to win 1 to match our points total (not withstanding draws), and both have a much better GD.
Our next four games are pretty horrific:
Bury (a)
Carlisle (a)
Colchester (h)
Mansfield (a)

It’s more than conceivable that we’ll lose all of those. If so, we could be only a few points clear of the bottom two with five games to go. A collapse from us is still “on”.
 

LongEatonPie

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If my predictions are reasonible correct it will be more than likely decided on 27th of April. It can't go to last day as Yeovil have the better fixture...

 

JJ1532

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61 - Guaranteed Safety 2019
51 - Safety 2013
50 - Safety 2014
49 -
48 -
47 - Safety 2017
46 - Safety 2018
45 -
44 -
43 - Crawley(37)
42 - Safety 2015
41 - Predicted Safety 18-19, Cambridge(37), Morecambe(37)
40 - Port Vale(37)
39 -
38 -
37 -
36 - Yeovil(37)
35 - Safety 2016
34 -
33 -
-----------------------------------------------------
32 - Notts County(37)
31 -
30 - Macclesfield(36)

Forthcoming fixtures:

18th - Crawley(37) - 43 points. Crewe(A), Lincoln(H), Morecambe(A), Forest Green(H), Yeovil(A), Exeter(A), Notts County(H), Carlisle(A), Tranmere(H)
19th - Cambridge(37) - 41 points. Bury(A), Carlisle(A), Colchester(H), Mansfield(A), Newport(H), Swindon(H), Forest Green(A), Morecambe(H), Macclesfield(A)
20th - Morecambe(37) - 41 points. Notts County(A), Swindon(A), Crawley(H), Macclesfield(A), Grimsby(H), Mansfield(A), Cheltenham(H), Cambridge(A), Newport(H)
21st - Port Vale(37) - 40 points. Swindon(A), Forest Green(H), Northampton(A), Crewe(H), Exeter(A), Stevenage(H), MK Dons(A), Macclesfield(H), Bury(A)
22nd - Yeovil(37) - 36 points. Macclesfield(H), MK Dons(A), Newport(H), Swindon(A), Crawley(H), Crewe(A), Colchester(H), Northampton(A), Carlisle(H)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
23rd - Notts County(37) - 32 points. Morecambe(H), Exeter(H), Stevenage(A), Northampton(H), Crewe(A), MK Dons(H), Crawley(A), Grimsby(H), Swindon(A)
24th - Macclesfield(36) - 30 points. Yeovil(A), Stevenage(H), Lincoln(A), Morecambe(H), Forest Green(A), Northampton(A), Newport(H), Port Vale(A), Cambridge(H), Exeter(H) TBA

And just when you think things look pretty settled, a surprise win throws a spanner in the works. Happens every year. Notts County pick up a win at Carlisle and now, if they can beat Morecambe, they are suddenly right back in it. Macc slip to the bottom, but now have a game in hand. If they can beat Yeovil on Saturday, then they too could have a chance.

As for Yeovil, they put themselves right back in the shit by getting hammered at Port Vale. Lose to Macc and they are in big big trouble. Just when things were looking dicey for the Vale, they put in 2 good performances and pick up 6 points. Gives them some breathing room and puts them within touching distance of safety. Some tricky games coming up for them in the next few weeks, we'll see if they have turned a corner.

Morecambe pull form out of their arse once again, this time beating MK Dons in impressive fashion. Beat them and FGR in 4 days, that's some going. Some easier fixtures coming up for them, but fail to win and they'll be right back in the mix. Cambridge couldn't beat Crewe at home, which is criminal. Tough schedule coming up for them, not out of the woods yet. Crawley record a solid 4 points from Grimsby and Mansfield at home, pretty good return. One more win should probably do it for them.

This bad boy isn't over yet by the looks of things. Any proclamation otherwise might look a bit silly if results go a certain way on Saturday. Watching the Notts County v Morecambe and Yeovil v Macc games with interest.
 
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Vanni

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I recall that I agreed with a Pies fan (was it you LongEatonPie ?) when said poster claimed Notts could get 6 wins out of the remaining games. Well, they've won 3 already. At the time people thought this to be far too optimistic.

In short, it's not a good idea when people start predicting so and so are definitely down in February or early March when there's still around 15 matches left to play.
 
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Vanni

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JJ1532 why is us failing to beat you criminal? For starters you're not exactly what I'd call a poor side, and weren't you also on a 3 game unbeaten away run before last night? Make that 4 now.
 

GTFCfish

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Plenty of Notts fans with the old Basil Fawlty quote in their minds this morning. Last night's result and performance does indeed offer some hope, the only trouble is we have been far better this season against the better teams (wins against Mansfield, Tranmere, FGR, Carlisle, draws against Lincoln, ColU, Bury), and awful against our relegation rivals, especially at home. Plus, Morecambe are in pretty good form. But three points and we can maybe think about looking up instead of down. I don't know what the other-run ins are like but I think it looks like 2 from 3 now - Yeovil have a few tricky fixtures after Macc on Saturday and by all accounts were dreadful last night. Think we are going to struggle to catch anyone else though, especially with our terrible GD.

Hopefully we will keep the same XI, I think Stead's injury could be a blessing - Hemmings was superb up top on his own last night, something a few fans have wanted to see for a while. A midfield 3 of Jim O'Brien (if fit after Devitt's challenge), Michael Doyle and David Vaughan is old as f*** but really ought to be good enough!

To be honest though it's just nice to be off the f****** bottom!
You’re allowed to say fuck without using asterisks mate this is an Internet forum not a fucking Church. :bg:
 

GTFCfish

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So last season we won our penultimate game at home to Notts County to stay up.

This season Notts County’s penultimate game is at home to us.

Mmm I wonder.............
 

darren gregory

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The predicted safety is surely wrong? Fair play JJ for doing that analysis but according to that Yeovil need 3 points from 9 games to stay up !!!
We are already up, i'll get my cigar :)
 

JJ1532

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JJ1532 why is us failing to beat you criminal? For starters you're not exactly what I'd call a poor side, and weren't you also on a 3 game unbeaten away run before last night? Make that 4 now.
I was being slightly facetious, but given your next few games, failing to get 3 points last night could really bite you in the arse.

We aren't a poor side, but we aren't a particularly good one either. Our away form is utter turd, as evidenced by the fact we've scored 11 goals and won just 2 games, one of those being against a side with 10 men for 78 minutes. The 5 draws before last night were against the teams in 24th, 22nd, 19th, 17th and 14th.

It's a long Tuesday night trip, which we are usually ass in. It was poor weather, which we usually struggle with. Plus we've lost both our last 2 trips to your ground handily. We came in having lost 3 straight, having scored 2 goals in our last 4 games. We lost our last away game on Friday to Tranmere, so weren't carrying any unbeaten streaks. Poor form, no goals, away from home, Tuesday night, long distance etc. Should have been a comfy home win. Yes our team deserve credit for seemingly putting on a reasonable display, but still, failing to win in the above circumstances is borderline criminal, especially given your next 4. If you aren't beating us in favourable circumstances, who are you beating?

The predicted safety is surely wrong? Fair play JJ for doing that analysis but according to that Yeovil need 3 points from 9 games to stay up !!!
We are already up, i'll get my cigar :)
It is wrong, my bad. Now at 41. So, not quite safe yet! ;)
 

Vanni

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I was being slightly facetious, but given your next few games, failing to get 3 points last night could really bite you in the arse.

We aren't a poor side, but we aren't a particularly good one either. Our away form is utter turd, as evidenced by the fact we've scored 11 goals and won just 2 games, one of those being against a side with 10 men for 78 minutes. The 5 draws before last night were against the teams in 24th, 22nd, 19th, 17th and 14th.

It's a long Tuesday night trip, which we are usually ass in. It was poor weather, which we usually struggle with. Plus we've lost both our last 2 trips to your ground handily. We came in having lost 3 straight, having scored 2 goals in our last 4 games. We lost our last away game on Friday to Tranmere, so weren't carrying any unbeaten streaks. Poor form, no goals, away from home, Tuesday night, long distance etc. Should have been a comfy home win. Yes our team deserve credit for seemingly putting on a reasonable display, but still, failing to win in the above circumstances is borderline criminal, especially given your next 4. If you aren't beating us in favourable circumstances, who are you beating?
I get you. Just looking at the games we've got coming up, one would think if the U's can only take a point off Crewe then there's very little chance they'll take points off the likes of Bury, Carlisle, Col U and Mansfield. I'll also be honest and say that pre match I was confident of getting the win. A draw is not the end of the world but I certainly did not expect us to be so poor. Luckily for us, you lot also had an off day IMO.

Re you away form, I'd forgotten all about that Friday night 1-0 loss at Tranmere :ffs: I'm not trying to excuse that shower on Tuesday night but your recent away form (W1 D3 L1) seems decent enough. Or at least, it's much better than what it was during the first part of the season.
 

valefan16

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I get you. Just looking at the games we've got coming up, one would think if the U's can only take a point off Crewe then there's very little chance they'll take points off the likes of Bury, Carlisle, Col U and Mansfield. I'll also be honest and say that pre match I was confident of getting the win. A draw is not the end of the world but I certainly did not expect us to be so poor. Luckily for us, you lot also had an off day IMO.

Re you away form, I'd forgotten all about that Friday night 1-0 loss at Tranmere :ffs: I'm not trying to excuse that shower on Tuesday night but your recent away form (W1 D3 L1) seems decent enough. Or at least, it's much better than what it was during the first part of the season.
Football is a funny one though, look at Vale..

Lost to Morecambe, Cheltenham and Cambridge, drawing at County... then dominate and beat Mansfield for only our second win since November!
 

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