The Real League One Table 2019

Kenneth E End

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OK this is my attempt at the League One promotion and relegation races. Looks like it's going to take a particularly high number of points to get into the Championship this year. I believe the divisional promotion winning average is 87 points this century. Does seem to be two leagues forming at the top (although this has actually been pretty evident for a while), with the top 5 breaking pretty clear from the rest.

AFC Wimbledon certainly making this thread much longer than it needs to be. Certainly a lot closer at the bottom of the division than it is at the top. At the moment there are 4 teams that are projected to get 49 points based on PPG and would be scraping to escape that final relegation place.

110 - Absolute maximum points for the Champions
109
108
107
106
105
104
103
102
101
100
99
98
97
96
95
94
93 - Projected Champions
--------------------------------------------
92
91 - Projected Promotion
--------------------------------------------
90
89
88
87
86
85
84
83
82
81
80
79
78
77
76
75
74
73
72 - Projected Play Offs
--------------------------------------------

71
70
69
68 - Luton Town (need 23 points from 14 games for promotion)
67
66
65
64
63
62 - Barnsley (need 29 points from 15 games for promotion)
61
60
59 - Portsmouth (need 32 points from 15 games for promotion); Projected Top Half
--------------------------------------------
58
57 - Sunderland (need 34 points from 17 games for promotion)
56
55 - Charlton Athletic
54
53
52
51
50 - Doncaster Rovers; Projected Safety
--------------------------------------------

49 - Peterborough United
48
47
46 - Blackpool
45 - Fleetwood Town
44
43 - Wycombe Wanderers, Coventry City
42
41 - Burton Albion
40 - Scunthorpe United
39 - Southend United
38
37 - Plymouth Argyle
36 - Accrington Stanley
35 - Walsall
34 - Rochdale
33 - Bristol Rovers, Oxford United, Gillingham
32 - Shrewsbury Town, Bradford City
30
29
28
27
26
25
24
23 - AFC Wimbledon
 
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Kenneth E End

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Update 16 Feb 2019

110 - Absolute maximum points for the Champions
109
108
107
106
105
104
103
102
101
100
99
98
97
96
95
94 - Projected Champions
--------------------------------------------
93
92
91
90
89 - Projected Promotion
--------------------------------------------
88
87
86
85
84
83
82
81
80
79
78
77
76
75
74
73 - Projected Play Offs
--------------------------------------------
72
71 - Luton Town (need 18 points from 13 games for promotion)
70
69
68
67
66
65 - Barnsley (need 24 points from 14 games for promotion)
64
63
62
61
60 - Portsmouth (need 29 points from 14 games for promotion)
59 - Sunderland (need 30 points from 15 games for promotion)
--------------------------------------------
58 - Projected Top Half
57
56 - Charlton Athletic (need 33 points from 13 games for promotion)
55
54
53 - Doncaster Rovers
52 - Peterborough United
51
50 ;
49
48 - Blackpool; Projected Safety
--------------------------------------------
47
46 - Coventry City
45 - Fleetwood Town
44
43 - Wycombe Wanderers
42 - Burton Albion
41
40 - Southend United; Scunthorpe United
39
38 - Plymouth Argyle
37 - Accrington Stanley
36 - Gillingham
35 - Walsall
34 - Rochdale
33 - Bristol Rovers, Oxford United, Shrewsbury Town, Bradford City
32
30
29
28
27
26 - AFC Wimbledon
 

Kenneth E End

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Update 23 Feb 2019

Really interesting day and week as a lot of the games in the hand at the top have evened themselves out - disastrous for the bottom four as they all lost, with those above them winning away from home. It does appear a bit more spread out down there than it was a week ago.

Sunderland push the promotion line up after a really good week for them. Right now, both Barnsley and Sunderland are projected to get 91 with Luton to get 99 (playing tomorrow). Portsmouth are now 8 games without a win. It looks increasingly like a three horse race for 2 positions but a team with a lot of points going home disappointed into the play off lottery.

Meanwhile with no one really wanting that 6th place, it could be one of the lower points totals that gets into that play offs this season; it is now projected that Luton will make the play offs even if they lose their last 13 games.

110 - Absolute maximum points for the Champions
109
108
107
106
105
104
103
102
101
100
99
98
97
96
95
94
93
92 - Projected Champions & Promotion
--------------------------------------------
91
90
89
88
87
86
85
84
83
82
81
80
79
78
77
76
75
74
73
72
71 - Projected Play Offs Luton Town (need 20 points from 13 games for promotion because of superior goal difference; and 21 points to be Champions)
--------------------------------------------
70
69
68
67 - Barnsley (need 25 points from 12 games for promotion)
66
65 - Sunderland (need 27 points from 13 games for promotion)
64
63
62 - Portsmouth (need 29 points from 12 games for promotion)
61
60
59 - Projected Top Half; Charlton Athletic (need 33 points from 12 games for promotion)
--------------------------------------------
58
57
56
55
54 - Doncaster Rovers
53
52 - Peterborough United
51
50 ;
49
48 - Blackpool, Fleetwood Town; Projected Safety
--------------------------------------------
47
46 - Coventry City
45
44
43 - Burton Albion, Wycombe Wanderers
42
41 - Accrington Stanley, Scunthorpe United, Southend United, Plymouth Argyle
40
39 - Gillingham
38 - Walsall (need 10 points from 12 games for survival)
37 -
36 - Shrewsbury Town, Oxford United (need 12 points from 12 games for survival but an additional game for Shrewsbury Town)
35
34 - Rochdale, Bristol Rovers (need 14 points from 12 games for survival but an additional game for Bristol Rovers)
33 - Bradford City (need 15 points from 12 games for survival)
32
30
29 - AFC Wimbledon (need 19 points from 12 games for survival)
 
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